Heavy Rainfall Forecast for Cumbria from Storm Erik on Friday 8th February 2019

Alert message sent 07/02/2019 18:52:00

Information sent on behalf of The Environment Agency

A band of persistent and heavy rain accompanied by strong to gale force winds named Storm ‘Erik’ by the Irish Met Office is expected to affect Cumbria overnight and on through Friday morning 8th February 2019 before clearing eastwards late afternoon with blustery showers following through into Saturday morning. The rain will strengthen and weaken in its intensity during Friday morning with some quite high cumulative totals possible over the high ground of the Lakeland Fells and the Pennines over the 24 hour period. Some localised river and lake response is to be expected and also localised surface water flooding issues are possible. Please pay attention to the latest  weather forecasts and the Met Office Public Weather Warnings Service: http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/warnings
River levels are currently running at average levels for this time of year but following some rainfall and snow melt at the start of this week they remain responsive to further rainfall. We are currently forecasting some rise and some Flood Alert levels are likely to be crossed on Friday. Localised river and lake flooding to low lying land, roads and campsite areas is possible. Worst case is for one or two Flood Warnings to be issued but current forecast rainfall totals for this system have been recently downgraded
Localised surface water flooding issues is also a potential hazard with spray and difficult driving conditions as this weather system passes through with the main risk period currently assessed as being during Friday morning and early afternoon periods.
Gale force westerly to south-westerly winds associated with this weather system will increase in strength on Friday through into Saturday morning and are likely to cause some stormy coastal conditions with large on-shore waves and wind-blown spray affecting exposed and low-lying areas along the Cumbria Coast around high tide periods. Some minor localised tidal flooding issues cannot be discounted.     
Our Duty Officers are monitoring the situation closely and Environment Agency Field Team staff are being deployed to ensure grids and debris screens on watercourses are clear to maintain unobstructed flows. Please refer to our website https://flood-warning-information.service.gov.uk/ for up to date information on alerts /warnings in force.
Be Flood Ready!  It is important that you are prepared for flooding and we encourage you to take 3 simple steps:
  1.  Sign up to Flood Warning Service to receive free flood warnings
  2. Know what to do when a flood warning is issued.  We encourage you have a personal flood plan for you and your family
  3. Keep an eye on the situation.  You can view a 5 day weather forecast and monitor river levels online at https://flood-warning-information.service.gov.uk/ and www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/  
Further information is available on our website www.gov.uk/flood or by ringing Floodline on 0345 988 1188.https://www.neighbourhoodalert.co.uk/239760140/email.gif
Message sent by
David Snaith (Environment Agency, Flood Resilience Officer: PP and Community Engagement, Cumbria)

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